11 June 2026

Data Reveals the Fragile Economics of Training Patent Attorneys in the Age of AI

imageCould the trans-Tasman (Australian and New Zealand) patent attorney profession be standing on a demographic precipice?  Despite the continued resilience of patent filings and a seemingly stable market for professional intellectual property services, the fundamental engine of the profession – its human capital – is barely idling.

I have analysed numbers over recent years from the Trans-Tasman IP Attorneys register, and the data reveals a profession that is effectively running on a treadmill.  In January 2018, the register recorded 1,003 attorneys.  Today, in mid-2026, that number sits at 1,084 (870 in Australia, 214 in New Zealand).

That is a net addition of just 81 practitioners over more than eight years, translating to a sluggish compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of just under 1%.  While the profession has managed to register 288 new attorneys since 2018, I found that this influx has been largely offset by a steady rate of retirement: 207 attorneys have departed the register over the same period.

On the surface, a 1% growth rate might simply look like a mature, saturated market.  But, when placed in historical context, the situation is concerning.  More importantly, it foreshadows a possible existential threat to the profession.  If the entry rate of new patent attorneys falls below the rate of senior attrition, the regulatory and commercial ecosystem may stand on shaky ground.  And – as always these days – the advancement of AI use within attorney firms threatens to exacerbate this risk.

03 June 2026

Funding Quantum Hardware, Forsaking Research Talent: The Deepening Crisis in Australian Science

Image generated by Google Gemini based on author prompt.It has been just over two years since the Australian and Queensland governments announced their near-billion-dollar joint venture to fund PsiQuantum. Back in April 2024, policymakers excitedly pitched the construction of a utility-scale quantum computer at Brisbane Airport as an ‘anchor’ for the next industrial revolution. I did not write about it then.  Like many, I assumed the inevitable collision with technical and logistical reality would happen quietly, behind closed doors, perhaps eventually leading to a scaled-back scope or an extended timeline.

But here we are in mid-2026, and the wheels are visibly wobbling.  Last month, the much-touted Brisbane Airport site was unceremoniously abandoned in favour of a council-owned site at Moreton Bay Central.  Yet, despite pivoting to an empty lot at a former paper mill, it appears that neither the company nor the government has publicly walked back their foundational commitment to have the site operational by the end of 2027.  Promising to build the world's first million-qubit, fault-tolerant computer from the ground up in just 18 months is, to put it mildly, an ambitious logistical – and technical –  undertaking!

More importantly, I am writing about this now because we should not continue to ignore the sheer opportunity cost of this mega-project.  While the government plays venture capitalist with a single, highly speculative hardware gamble, the reality is that Australian science may be reaching a breaking point.

According to the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS), Australia’s Gross Expenditure on R&D (GERD) was a mere 1.69% of GDP in 2023-24.  This leaves us languishing far behind the OECD average, estimated at 2.93% in 2023, and significantly outpaced by peer economies that treat foundational research as critical infrastructure rather than a discretionary expense.

We are, quite literally, starving the ecosystem.

There is a profound irony at the heart of the PsiQuantum deal.  The company is headquartered in Silicon Valley, but its co-founders are products of the Australian university system.  They are the quintessential example of the ‘brain drain’ – talented innovators who left Australia when the domestic funding ecosystem failed to support their ambition.  This leaves us spending nearly a billion dollars of taxpayer money to effectively buy back our own exported talent at a massive premium.

Yet, in doing so, we are contributing to the collapse of the very STEM pipeline required to produce the next generation of innovators.  How does a government justify a near-billion-dollar bet on a speculative hardware project while simultaneously starving the foundation?  The answer, as is so often the case in technology policy, lies in a deliberate semantic conflation.  By using the word ‘quantum’ as a monolithic buzzword, policymakers have successfully blurred the lines between practical, deployable technologies and a long-term engineering marathon.

Let's dive in and look at the data.


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The Patentology Blog by Dr Mark A Summerfield is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-ShareAlike 3.0 Australia License.